Tuesday, 20 December 2011

Spot Constellation

Predict the future? Phenomena such as Moore's Law, (computers double performance at the same price every 18 months) allow accurate predictions based upon technology as far as 10 years into the future 

Imagining the far future helps you discover near term opportunities that you wouldn't have otherwise thought of. Relaxing assumptions about what is possible lets you stumble upon "impossible" opportunities that are, in fact, very possible 

Identifying big wins in much harder than finding quick wins- INCORRECT because It takes no more effort to surface big, game changing opportunities than to identify small, near term wins. All that's needed to spot big wins is to use simple tools such as "Blind spot" analysis—which uncover big opportunities hiding in plain sight— in the course of your normal way of doing business. 

The best way to build a big future, is to "fail fast" with many small, quick experiments. World Class innovators such as Wal-Mart and Proctor and Gamble do this to manage constant change in their businesses and uncertainty about future consumer needs.  

The biggest obstacles to progress are often factors beyond our control, such as limited budgets, bureaucratic inertia and turf wars.INCORRECT.-Our own unconscious beliefs, perceptions and attitudes (such as learned helplessness) and aversion to "inconvenient truths" are the biggest obstacles to change. 

The most successful products—such as iPhone— are inspired by innovators who follow their passions, not designers who follow consumer fashion. Henry Ford said "If I'd asked people what they wanted they would have said a faster horse."  

Sitting on a big idea—as opposed to acting on it immediately—can be the best way to insure the idea bears fruit.Big ideas are usually so disruptive that they are only accepted during crises. Waiting to pitch a radical idea until the right crisis comes along is often the best way to keep the idea from dying an early death. 

The best way to predict the future is to invent it.The future is not cast in concrete, but is moldable. Apple, for example, decides what they want the future to be, then works hard to make that future real.

Basic human nature— such as people's resistance to change --is the biggest single obstacle to progress. INCORRECT because Major advances only occur when visionaries harness, vs. fight, human nature. For example, Jean Monnet slowly built the European Union by by cleverly appealing to tribal instincts of Europeans, persuading them to focus their "us vs. them" attitudes on non-Europeans instead of on intra European rivalries 

Appealing to people's emotions is more effective at selling your vision of the future than appealing to people's logicINCORRECT because People make decisions on emotion, not logic. Passionate arguments, especially those bolstered by rich visual and audio presentations, can move even conservative audiences to action 

SOURCE: longfusebigbang (I answered the quiz..hehe)

trivia-nowadays, whether i'm busy or not, i keep thinking about rhinocerous..WHy eh? Hard to say, but really exhausted. almost every night I attend society meeting..in Zagazig now: society election. The chairman already got his "chair" without competition. Congratz Doctor Hakim. May Allah always help you :)



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